The odds
as of Oct 20, 20:25 UTC- 140-159 71% −6.5
- 120-139 8.9% +1
- 180-199 4.8% +0.7
- 200 or more 3.7% +1.6
- 160-179 2.1% —
- 100-119 <1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$339K
Favourite, 7 days−3 pts
140-159, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 13: 75% · Oct 14: 78% · Oct 15: 78% · Oct 16: 78% · Oct 17: 78% · Oct 18: 77% · Oct 19: 78% · Oct 20: 69%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET.
If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.
See it on Polymarket ↗