The odds
as of Nov 8, 02:21 UTC- Chance of yes 2.2% −2
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$51K
Yes, 7 days−4.4 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceNov 1: 4.4% · Nov 2: 4.5% · Nov 3: 6.6% · Nov 4: 3.2% · Nov 5: 7.4% · Nov 6: 4.4% · Nov 7: 4.6% · Nov 8: 2.2%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Dutch House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal), as of January 27, 2026, is dissolved by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of the Netherlands, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗