Moving
Mistral Large 4: Text Arena Debut? 1430+ 7% ▼−76M. Herzliya vs Nazareth Nazareth 94% ▲+70Cervino Ruiz vs Voloshchuk Celia Cervino Ruiz 74% ▲+48Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat vs Hapoel Kiryat Yam Maccabi Ironi Kiryat Gat 69% ▲+45OpenRouter token usage in Oct 5–11 Above 164 T tokens 84% ▲+44Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by...? November 30 56% ▲+42Baycurrent Classic: Top 10 Finishers Zachary Bauchou 59% ▲+41Bank of Mexico Decision in November? No change 56% ▼−40Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Cassidy Hutchinson 46% ▲+37van Wyk vs Picard Kris van Wyk 88% ▲+37What will the next Muse model family be named? Muse Blaze 40% ▲+34When will traffic at the Strait of Hormuz return t… Before Dec 1, 2027 82% ▲+32How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago in Oct … 2 43% ▼−32Hsieh S-W / Ostapenko vs Routliffe / Sutjiadi Su-Wei Hsieh / Jelena Ostapenko 32% ▼−32
PolymarketCloses October 15, 2026

Core CPI MoM - September 2026

0.2% leads at 42% (about 4 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 9, 14:30 UTC. It's down 1 points in the last 24 hours.

0.2% 42% ▼ 1 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 9, 14:30 UTC
  • 0.2% 42% −1
  • 0.3% 33% —
  • 0.1% 19% +2.5
  • 0.4% 5.5% −1
  • ≤0.0% 4.5% −0.5
  • 0.5% <1% —
  • 0.6%+ <1% —
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+7.5 pts

0.2%, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 1Oct 942%

Oct 2: 41% · Oct 3: 36% · Oct 4: 34% · Oct 5: 36% · Oct 6: 39% · Oct 7: 41% · Oct 8: 39% · Oct 9: 42%

The same question on Kalshi

Polymarket42%0.2%
58 pt gap
Kalshi>99%Above -0.2% →

Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 9, 14:30 UTC.

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This is a market about the one-month percent change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy in September 2026 as reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics. This market will resolve to the one-month percentage change in the Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers excluding food and energy (Core CPI-U) in September 2026 according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report (seasonally adjusted change from the preceding month). The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for September 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on October 14, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS CPI news release, which reports core inflation (all items less food and energy) over 1-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 0.3%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure (the all items index excluding food and energy), not the headline all items CPI figure. If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
See it on Polymarket ↗

Economy

More markets like this

All →