The odds
as of Oct 20, 20:25 UTC- 78-80% 58% —
- 76-78% 21% −4.5
- 80-82% 16% −0.5
- <76% 5.1% +1.4
- 82%+ 3.4% +1
Traded today$8K
Traded in all$32K
Favourite, 7 days−1.5 pts
78-80%, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 13: 60% · Oct 14: 60% · Oct 15: 56% · Oct 16: 59% · Oct 17: 59% · Oct 18: 57% · Oct 19: 58% · Oct 20: 58%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThe second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2022 example: https://sig.tse.jus.br/ords/dwapr/r/seai/sig-eleicao-resultados/home-comparecimento-votacao?p0_ano=2022).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
See it on Polymarket ↗