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PolymarketCloses November 4, 2026

Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)

290K-305K leads at 33% (about 3 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 20, 12:34 UTC. It's up 5.5 points in the last 24 hours.

290K-305K 33% ▲ 5.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 20, 12:34 UTC
  • 290K-305K 33% +5.5
  • 275K-290K 27% +1.5
  • 305K-320K 23% −1
  • 260K-275K 15% +7.5
  • 320K+ 5.7% −5
  • <230K <1% —
  • 245K-260K <1% —
  • 230K-245K <1% —
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+13 pts

290K-305K, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 12Oct 2033%

Oct 13: 27% · Oct 14: 14% · Oct 15: 20% · Oct 16: 14% · Oct 17: 37% · Oct 18: 46% · Oct 19: 28% · Oct 20: 33%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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