The odds
as of Nov 5, 03:19 UTC- Thailand 22% −3.5
- Japan 4% −5.6
- Iran 3.5% +1
- Jordan 3.1% —
- Saudi Arabia 3% —
- South Korea 2.5% −1.6
- Bahrain 2.3% —
- Australia 2.2% −4.3
Traded today$11K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+22 pts
Thailand, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 29: <1% · Oct 30: 2.3% · Oct 31: 2.3% · Nov 1: 2.3% · Nov 2: 2.3% · Nov 3: 46% · Nov 4: 24% · Nov 5: 22%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Nov 5, 03:19 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2027 AFC Asian Cup.
If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2027 AFC Asian Cup per the rules of the AFC (e.g., they are eliminated), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".
If the 2027 AFC Asian Cup is cancelled, postponed after February 19, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be official information from the AFC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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See it on Polymarket ↗