Moving
Rathi vs Venkataraman Arjun Rathi 92% ▲+42ALCS MVP Winner Yandy Díaz 47% ▲+41Butterfield Bermuda Championship Winner Benjamin James 10% ▼−38Sorana Cirstea vs Han Shi: Set 1 Winner Sorana Cirstea 87% ▲+37NYC median asking rent in December 2026 Above $4,000 46% ▲+34"Housewife" by Tate McRae · Billboard Hot 100 rank… Rank 5 to 6 15% ▲+32Pro Football Next Coach Out Shane Steichen 33% ▲+31Cirstea vs Shi Sorana Cirstea 81% ▲+30HAN vs Jones Jiangxue HAN 88% ▲+26Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on...? October 17 86% ▲+26magic vs. PARIVISION PARIVISION 60% ▼−25American League Champion Tampa Bay 81% ▲+23Pro Baseball Championship Winning Division AL East 33% ▲+21Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? David Bailey 28% ▼−20
PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

#3 AI Lab end of December? (Style Control On)

Meta leads at 37% (about 4 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 19, 07:39 UTC. It's up 14 points in the last 24 hours.

Meta 37% ▲ 14 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 19, 07:39 UTC
  • Meta 37% +14
  • Anthropic 23% +0.5
  • Google 16% −1.3
  • Meituan 8.9% +1
  • OpenAI 8.5% −1
  • StepFun 6.9% +3
  • Nvidia 6.2% +1
  • Moonshot 5.8% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+17 pts

Meta, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 11Oct 1937%

Oct 12: 21% · Oct 13: 25% · Oct 14: 23% · Oct 15: 24% · Oct 16: 23% · Oct 17: 23% · Oct 18: 23% · Oct 19: 37%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) (Style Control On) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on December 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall?rankBy=labs with style control on (Adjustments: Style Control) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market. Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score. AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
See it on Polymarket ↗

Tech & science

More markets like this

All →