The odds
as of Oct 17, 14:20 UTC- Chance of yes 5% +4
Traded today$528
Traded in all$93K
Yes, 7 days+1 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 10: 4% · Oct 11: 5% · Oct 12: 5% · Oct 13: 5% · Oct 14: 3.5% · Oct 15: 3.5% · Oct 16: 3% · Oct 17: 5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Elon Musk is no longer CEO of Tesla by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Tesla; Bloomberg
See it on Kalshi ↗