The odds
as of Oct 18, 07:23 UTC- Chance of yes 3% +1.3
Traded today$742
Traded in all$62K
Yes, 7 days+0.8 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 11: 2.3% · Oct 12: 2.3% · Oct 13: 2.3% · Oct 14: 1.9% · Oct 15: 1.8% · Oct 16: 1.8% · Oct 17: 2.4% · Oct 18: 3.1%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the Federal Reserve sets the target federal funds rate range to 0.00-0.25%, or lower, before Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Federal Reserve
See it on Kalshi ↗