The odds
as of Oct 13, 17:24 UTC- Before Jul 1, 2028 96% +22
- Before Jan 1, 2029 91% —
- Before Jan 1, 2028 74% —
- Before Jul 1, 2027 60% —
- Before Jan 1, 2027 49% —
- Before Nov 1, 2026 11% —
- Before Oct 24, 2026 4% —
- Before Oct 20, 2026 3% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$38K
Traded in all$38K
Favourite, 7 days+22 pts
Before Jul 1, 2028, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceHow it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before Jul 1, 2028; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Katie Zacharia leaves as White House Press Secretary before Jul 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes. Katie Zacharia must have an actual departure date and vacate the role within the time period. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract shall settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expulsion, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role. This includes both voluntary and involuntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.
Settlement sources: The White House; Reuters; Associated Press
See it on Kalshi ↗