The odds
as of Nov 10, 16:18 UTC- Brent Crude Oil 85% −5
- WTI Crude Oil 18% +8
Traded today$716
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−4 pts
Brent Crude Oil, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 3: 89% · Nov 4: 92% · Nov 5: 90% · Nov 6: 91% · Nov 7: 90% · Nov 8: 90% · Nov 9: 90% · Nov 10: 87%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Brent Crude Oil; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Brent Crude Oil performs above WTI Crude Oil for the period of 2026 by 0.001% rounded to the nearest 3rd then the market resolves to Yes. Percent return is calculated from the official open price of WTI Crude Oil on January 2, 2026 (the first published trading day of the calendar year) and the official closing price on December 31, 2026. For example, if WTI Crude Oil opens at $80.00 per barrel on January 2, 2026 and closes at $90.00 per barrel on December 31, 2026, it will be concluded that the annual percentage return of WTI Crude Oil is +12.500%.
Settlement sources: ICE; Pyth
See it on Kalshi ↗