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Closest Senate race in 2026? Mississippi 95% ▲+92Texas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent At least 42% 94% ▼−88Minnesota Senate election: Peggy Flanagan vote per… At least 50% 87% ▲+84Closest Governor race in 2026? Kansas 93% ▲+81Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026? Mississippi 84% ▲+78Mississippi Senate winner? Scott Colom 82% ▲+67TX-23 House election: Brandon Herrera vote percent At least 48% 8% ▼−67Kansas Governor winner? Ty Masterson 3.1% ▼−64Kansas Governor-Senate combo Cindy Holscher and Adam Hamilton win 96% ▲+63Tennessee Governor election: Marsha Blackburn vote… At least 48% 4% ▼−62How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after th… 56 68% ▲+61Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Nov 6, 2… James Talarico 25% ▼−61Will Susan Collins outperform the polls? Yes 5% ▼−602028 presidential odds leader on November 30? JD Vance 22% ▼−60
KalshiCloses November 18, 2026

Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter: Set 2 Winner

Katie Boulter leads at 55% (about 5 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 4, 10:19 UTC. It's up 6.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Katie Boulter 55% ▲ 6.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 4, 10:19 UTC
  • Katie Boulter 55% +6.5
  • Claire Liu 46% —
Traded today$38K
Traded in all$53K
Favourite, 7 days+6.5 pts

Katie Boulter, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 3Nov 440%

Nov 3: 57% · Nov 4: 40%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Katie Boulter; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Katie Boulter wins set 2 in the Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Hong Kong Round Of 16, then the market resolves to Yes. The following market refers to the Claire Liu vs Katie Boulter professional tennis match in the 2026 WTA Hong Kong Round Of 16. If the match does not occur (signaled by a ball being played) due to a player injury, walkover, forfeiture, or any other cancellation (all before the match starts), the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. If this match is postponed or delayed, the market will remain open and close after the rescheduled match has finished (within two weeks). If a retirement occurs, all markets that can be unconditionally settled based on play already completed will resolve accordingly. Any markets that cannot be unconditionally settled will resolve to Fair Market Price, as determined at the sole discretion of the Exchange. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: WTA

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