The odds
as of Oct 13, 23:19 UTC- Above 2.7 million gallons 84% −1
- Above 2.8 million gallons 75% —
- Above 2.9 million gallons 67% —
- Above 3.0 million gallons 57% —
- Above 3.1 million gallons 49% —
- Above 3.2 million gallons 30% —
- Above 3.3 million gallons 14% —
- Above 3.4 million gallons 12% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$500
Traded in all$67K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Above 2.7 million gallons, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 6: 84% · Oct 7: 84% · Oct 8: 84% · Oct 9: 84% · Oct 10: 84% · Oct 11: 84% · Oct 12: 84% · Oct 13: 84%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 2.7 million gallons; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If USDA NASS reports Vermont’s maple syrup production for 2027 is above 2.7 million gallons, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is USDA NASS’s reported 2027 Vermont maple syrup production, measured in gallons. How to locate the Underlying: Use Maple Syrup → Production → Gallons. The equivalent 2026 page currently reports 3,091,000 gallons.
Settlement sources: USDA NASS Vermont State Agriculture Overview
See it on Kalshi ↗