The odds
as of Nov 9, 04:20 UTC- Above 0.0% 90% −7
- Above 0.5% 90% —
- Above 1.0% 83% —
- Above 1.5% 94% —
- Above 2.0% 90% —
- Above 2.5% 75% −3
- Above 3.0% 62% −14
- Above 3.5% 34% −40
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$852
Traded in all$71K
Favourite, 7 days+7 pts
Above 1.5%, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 2: 87% · Nov 3: 86% · Nov 4: 94% · Nov 5: 94% · Nov 6: 94%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 1.5%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2027 is above 1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. The initially reported value for December 2027 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2027, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics- Consumer Price Index
See it on Kalshi ↗