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KalshiCloses November 15, 2026

Will Donald Trump attend UFC 334?

The market puts it at 7.5% — a long shot, about one in 13 — on Kalshi, as of Nov 10, 15:15 UTC. It's down 11 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 7.5% ▼ 11 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 10, 15:15 UTC
  • Chance of yes 7.5% −11
Traded today$18K
Traded in all$37K
Yes, 7 days−19 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 2Nov 108%

Nov 3: 27% · Nov 4: 19% · Nov 5: 21% · Nov 6: 20% · Nov 7: 14% · Nov 8: 20% · Nov 9: 3.5% · Nov 10: 7.5%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If Donald Trump attends UFC 334, then the market resolves to Yes. Attendance is confirmed if the person is reported present at the event by any Source Agency, including social media posts by the person themselves. Brief appearances or partial attendance count as attendance. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Ultimate Fighting Championship (UFC) or TKO Group Holdings. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: USA Today; ABC; Fox News; MSNBC; The Wall Street Journal; Semafor; The Information; CBS; Vogue; Axios; CNN; Reuters; Billboard; The New York Times; The Washington Post; the Associated Press; Politico

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