The odds
as of Nov 10, 15:15 UTC- Chance of yes 3.8% −5
Traded today$948
Traded in all$40K
Yes, 7 days−1.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 2: 5.3% · Nov 3: 5.3% · Nov 4: 4.6% · Nov 5: 4.6% · Nov 6: 4.4% · Nov 8: 4.5% · Nov 9: 3.8% · Nov 10: 3.8%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf a member of the Donald J. Trump family (including him personally) is nominated as the 2028 Republican presidential candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: the Associated Press; Reuters; Axios; Politico; Semafor; The Information; The Washington Post; The Wall Street Journal; ABC; CBS; CNN; Fox News; MSNBC; Bloomberg News; NBC; The New York Times
See it on Kalshi ↗