The odds
as of Nov 10, 15:15 UTC- Catherine Cortez Masto 8% +3
- Rand Paul 5% —
- Raphael Warnock 4% —
- Mike Lee 4% —
- Andy Kim 3% —
- Lisa Blunt Rochester 3% —
- Angela Alsobrooks 2.5% —
- Mark Warner 2.5% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$616
Traded in all$65K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
Catherine Cortez Masto, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 3: 8% · Nov 4: 7% · Nov 5: 6% · Nov 6: 5.5% · Nov 7: 4.5% · Nov 8: 3.5% · Nov 9: 5.5% · Nov 10: 5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Catherine Cortez Masto; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Catherine Cortez Masto votes for a crypto market structure bill (as defined in KXCRYPTOSTRUCTURE) in the Senate before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The vote must be the first final vote on the bill, not a motion to proceed or motion to invoke cloture, unless otherwise specified. This must be a vote in the relevant full chamber, not a Committee vote, though not every member of the chamber needs to have participated in the vote. Once the vote has been closed and the correct result of the vote has been announced, a request by the member to add, remove, or alter a vote shall not be considered for purposes of resolving this market, regardless of any change to the official vote tally reported by the website Congress.gov or any other Congressional source.
Settlement sources: Library of Congress
See it on Kalshi ↗