The odds
as of Oct 14, 23:21 UTC- Before 2028 57% −10
- Before March 2027 14% −7
- Before October 2026 7% —
- Before February 2027 7% —
- Before 2027 4.5% —
- Before December 2026 2.5% —
- Before November 2026 1% −1
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days−19 pts
Before 2028, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 7: 68% · Oct 8: 68% · Oct 9: 66% · Oct 10: 66% · Oct 11: 66% · Oct 12: 68% · Oct 13: 69% · Oct 14: 37%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Before 2028; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Rocket Lab Corporation launches Neutron After issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: Federal Aviation Administration; Rocket Lab
See it on Kalshi ↗