The odds
as of Oct 10, 05:25 UTC- John Malkovich 93% −2
- Matt Damon 92% —
- Andrew Scott 86% −1
- Tom Cruise 54% +2
- Robert Pattinson 53% −1
- Ryan Gosling 43% +3
- Anthony Ippolito 41% −8
- John Turturro 36% −3
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$448K
Favourite, 7 days+0.5 pts
John Malkovich, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 3: 93% · Oct 4: 93% · Oct 5: 93% · Oct 6: 93% · Oct 7: 93% · Oct 8: 93% · Oct 9: 93% · Oct 10: 93%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, John Malkovich; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If John Malkovich has been nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes. The 99th Academy Awards Nominations are expected to be announced in January 2027. This market and these products have not been endorsed by the Oscars. Any references to Oscars, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Oscars and Kalshi.
Settlement sources: Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences
See it on Kalshi ↗