The odds
as of Oct 22, 09:27 UTC- Chance of yes 80% +1
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$30K
Yes, 7 days+13 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 15: 67% · Oct 16: 67% · Oct 17: 67% · Oct 18: 67% · Oct 19: 67% · Oct 20: 79% · Oct 21: 79% · Oct 22: 79%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf BLS reports that Ohio’s annual-average manufacturing employment for 2026 is above 677,400 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is BLS’s officially published 2026 annual-average Manufacturing employment for Ohio, measured in thousands of jobs. The threshold of 677.4 thousand jobs is fixed and will not change if the 2025 figure is subsequently revised.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics
See it on Kalshi ↗