The odds
as of Oct 13, 04:34 UTC- Democratic party wins 58% −2
- Republican party wins 42% —
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$636K
Favourite, 7 days+1.5 pts
Democratic party wins, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 6: 57% · Oct 7: 57% · Oct 8: 56% · Oct 9: 56% · Oct 10: 57% · Oct 11: 57% · Oct 12: 57% · Oct 13: 57%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic party wins; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If ALL of the following occur for before Jan 2027: Dem Nominee: Graham Platner, General Election Winner: Democrat, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Dem Nominee (SENATEPARTYNOM), General Election Winner (SENATEPARTY). All conditions must be satisfied before Jan 2027.
Settlement sources: Maine Secretary of State
See it on Kalshi ↗