The odds
as of Oct 9, 07:34 UTC- Chance of yes 3.5% −1
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$80K
Yes, 7 days−2.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 2: 6.5% · Oct 3: 5.5% · Oct 4: 5% · Oct 5: 5.5% · Oct 6: 5% · Oct 7: 5% · Oct 8: 5% · Oct 9: 3.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the International Monetary Fund declares the world is in recession before 2027 in one of their World Economic Outlook reports, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: International Monetary Fund
See it on Kalshi ↗