Moving
Will a 1-megawatt data center go live in orbit? Before Jan 1, 2030 77% ▲+60Grenada vs Saint Kitts & Nevis Grenada 19% ▼−59Estudiantes La Plata vs Rivadavia Estudiantes La Plata 97% ▲+56Cerro Largo vs Progreso Progreso 78% ▲+56Pato Basquete vs Caxias Do Sul Pato Basquete 94% ▲+53Washington vs New York G: Team Field Goals New York G: 1+ 83% ▲+45Toronto vs Philadelphia Philadelphia 35% ▼−43Canisius vs Brown Canisius 56% ▲+41How high will 5-year Treasury yield go before 2027? 5.00% 87% ▲+41Raptors vs. 76ers Raptors 63% ▲+38Louisiana vs UNC Wilmington UNC Wilmington 56% ▼−35Colorado vs Ottawa Ottawa 82% ▲+34Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns vs. UNCW Seahawks UNCW Seahawks 52% ▼−33Minnesota vs Toronto: 1st Period Winner Tie 64% ▲+32
KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

Which ICE reforms will become law in 2026?

Mandatory body-worn cameras leads at 9.9% (a long shot, about one in 10) on Kalshi, as of Nov 13, 00:38 UTC. It's down 13 points in the last 24 hours.

Mandatory body-worn cameras 9.9% ▼ 13 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 13, 00:38 UTC
  • Mandatory body-worn cameras 9.9% −13
  • Separate HSI from ICE 4.2% —
  • Abolish ICE 4.1% —
  • Visible identification 3.9% —
  • QR-code identification 3.8% —
  • Mask ban 3.4% −5

Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$817
Traded in all$59K
Favourite, 7 days+4 pts

Mandatory body-worn cameras, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 5Nov 128%

Nov 5: 5.8% · Nov 6: 5.7% · Nov 7: 5.5% · Nov 8: 5.5% · Nov 9: 7.5% · Nov 10: 7.5% · Nov 11: 7.5% · Nov 12: 7.5%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Mandatory body-worn cameras; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If legislation that requires ICE and CBP personnel engaged in enforcement operations to wear body-worn cameras has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. An example of this is H.R. 4651 (119th) — Immigration Enforcement Staff Body Camera Accountability Act.

Settlement sources: Library of Congress

See it on Kalshi ↗

Politics & elections

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