The odds
as of Oct 11, 08:32 UTC- 9 34% —
- 8 33% —
- 7 21% —
- 6 13% —
- Above 9 5% —
- 5 1.5% —
- Below 5 1% —
Traded today$655
Traded in all$65K
Favourite, 7 days+4 pts
9, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 4: 33% · Oct 5: 34% · Oct 6: 34% · Oct 7: 34% · Oct 8: 35% · Oct 9: 35% · Oct 10: 34% · Oct 11: 34%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 9; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Democrats win 9 seats in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Michigan, then the market resolves to Yes. Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes. This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner of every seat. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Michigan Secretary of State; Michigan Board of State Canvassers
See it on Kalshi ↗