The odds
as of Oct 10, 01:03 UTC- Melissa Gatto 53% +2
- Ernesta Kareckaite 48% −2
Traded today$26K
Traded in all$30K
Favourite, 7 days−13 pts
Melissa Gatto, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 3: 59% · Oct 4: 56% · Oct 5: 52% · Oct 6: 52% · Oct 7: 51% · Oct 8: 51% · Oct 9: 53% · Oct 10: 53%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Melissa Gatto" if Melissa Gatto is officially declared the winner of the fight against Ernesta Kareckaite at UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Duncan, scheduled for October 10, 2026.
It will resolve to "Ernesta Kareckaite" if Ernesta Kareckaite is officially declared the winner.
If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond October 24, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50."
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Settlement sources: https://www.ufc.com/events
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