The odds
as of Oct 6, 09:29 UTC- Above $50 billion 96% +1
- Above $55 billion 91% —
- Above $60 billion 74% —
- Above $65 billion 54% −1
- Above $70 billion 34% +3
- Above $75 billion 6.5% —
- Above $80 billion 5.5% —
- Above $85 billion 2.5% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$3K
Traded in all$108K
Favourite, 7 days−1.5 pts
Above $50 billion, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 97% · Sep 30: 97% · Oct 1: 97% · Oct 2: 97% · Oct 3: 97% · Oct 4: 97% · Oct 5: 99% · Oct 6: 96%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above $50 billion; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Robinhood Markets Inc. reports Above 50000000000 event contracts total trading volume in fiscal 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market refers to the annual figure reported in Robinhood Markets Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Settlement sources: Fiscal.ai
See it on Kalshi ↗