The odds
as of Oct 5, 08:42 UTC- Above 0.0% 94% —
- Above 0.1% 81% —
- Above 0.2% 37% −4
- Above 0.3% 8% —
- Above 0.4% 1% —
- Above 0.5% 1% —
- Above 0.6% 1% —
- Above 0.7% 1% —
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$217K
Favourite, 7 days−4.5 pts
Above 0.0%, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 92% · Sep 29: 95% · Sep 30: 95% · Oct 1: 93% · Oct 2: 94% · Oct 3: 94% · Oct 4: 94% · Oct 5: 94%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 0.0%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers: All Items less Food and Energy for September 2026, as published by the Bureau of Labor Statistics, increases by above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Please note that the value of the Underlying is the single-decimal value reported by the BLS. In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics
See it on Kalshi ↗