The odds
as of Oct 6, 01:39 UTC- October 15 93% +6.5
- October 14 86% +3.5
- October 13 82% −1
- October 12 78% −1.5
- October 11 75% +2.5
- October 10 70% +7
- October 9 46% −3.5
- October 8 23% −18
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$43K
Traded in all$43K
Favourite, 7 days+6.5 pts
October 15, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 5: 88% · Oct 6: 93%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordJynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos are scheduled to begin a hardcore Minecraft marathon on October 5, 2026. Their goal, as of market creation, is to defeat the Ender Dragon in a hardcore Minecraft world without any of the three dying.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jynxzi, StableRonaldo, and Los Pollos defeat the Ender Dragon live on stream, as accepted by them as a successful completion of their challenge, between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Only events occurring while at least one of the three players is broadcasting the challenge live will count. Footage of off-stream or previously recorded attempts will not qualify.
If the challenge is cancelled, abandoned before completion, or delayed to a point after the specified date, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be footage from the official broadcasts of the challenge on Jynxzi's, StableRonaldo's, and Los Pollos's official broadcasts on YouTube and Twitch.
Settlement sources: https://www.twitch.tv/stableronaldo
See it on Polymarket ↗