The odds
as of Oct 5, 05:55 UTC- Noah Kahan 37% +1
- The Strokes 19% +3
- Pearl Jam 18% —
- Lorde 18% —
- Vampire Weekend 18% —
- Tyler, The Creator 18% —
- My Chemical Romance 16% —
- The Black Keys 14% —
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$8K
Traded in all$136K
Favourite, 7 days+2 pts
Noah Kahan, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 35% · Sep 29: 35% · Sep 30: 35% · Oct 1: 35% · Oct 2: 35% · Oct 3: 35% · Oct 4: 37% · Oct 5: 37%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Noah Kahan; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Noah Kahan is the a headliner at Boston Calling Music Festival 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. To fulfill the Payout Criterion, the specified person must actually appear and carry out the specified role at the event. Being listed in the official lineup without actually performing does not qualify. Joint performances where the person shares the role with another performer do count. The performance qualifies even if delayed, shortened, or modified in format. Pre-recorded content does not qualify unless explicitly designated by organizers as fulfilling the role. Rumored or unofficial announcements, canceled appearances, and performances in different roles than specified do not satisfy the criterion.
Settlement sources: official account of ; ABC; Fox News; Vogue; Rolling Stone; MSNBC; BBC; Reuters; Boston Calling Music Festival; CNN; Billboard; NBC; the Associated Press; CBS; Variety; The New York Times; Bloomberg News
See it on Kalshi ↗