The odds
as of Oct 11, 22:24 UTC- Democratic Party 70% +1
- Republican Party 24% —
- Tie 9.5% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$247K
Favourite, 7 days+2.5 pts
Democratic Party, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 4: 68% · Oct 5: 69% · Oct 6: 69% · Oct 7: 68% · Oct 8: 69% · Oct 9: 70% · Oct 10: 70% · Oct 11: 70%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic Party; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.
Settlement sources: state governments
See it on Kalshi ↗