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CR Flamengo RJ vs Fluminense FC RJ: Correct Score CR Flamengo RJ wins 1-0 83% ▲+71Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Vila Nova FC Vila Nova FC 97% ▲+61Ferroviario vs Goias Goias 86% ▲+61Gremio vs Internacional Tie 81% ▲+54Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional Draw (Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional) 74% ▲+46Suarez vs Huertas Del Pino Cordova Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova 95% ▲+45D. Concepcion vs Union La Calera D. Concepcion 91% ▲+41Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Adam Schiff 42% ▲+4049ers vs. Seahawks 49ers 77% ▲+38Jaguares vs Tolima Tolima 18% ▼−37LDU Quito vs. Barcelona SC LDU Quito 26% ▼−34DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers Denver 31% ▼−33LDU Quito vs Barcelona LDU Quito 27% ▼−33Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? David Bailey 35% ▲+32
KalshiCloses January 1, 2027

Who will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Democratic Party leads at 70% (about 7 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Oct 11, 22:24 UTC. It's up 1 points in the last 24 hours.

Democratic Party 70% ▲ 1 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 11, 22:24 UTC
  • Democratic Party 70% +1
  • Republican Party 24% —
  • Tie 9.5% —
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$247K
Favourite, 7 days+2.5 pts

Democratic Party, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 3Oct 1170%

Oct 4: 68% · Oct 5: 69% · Oct 6: 69% · Oct 7: 68% · Oct 8: 69% · Oct 9: 70% · Oct 10: 70% · Oct 11: 70%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democratic Party; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Democrats hold more governorships than Republicans after the 2026 midterm elections, the market resolves to Yes. For the purposes of this Contract, the total number of governorships held by a party is calculated by counting (i) uncontested governorships (those without a scheduled election in 2026) plus (ii) contested governorships won by that party's candidate as determined under the resolution criteria of the ELECTION contract, including the accelerated provision.

Settlement sources: state governments

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