Ohio Governor: margin of victory

(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Amy Acton, 6-8%; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the margin of victory for Amy Acton in the 2026 gubernatorial election in Ohio is within 6% to 8%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Amy Acton minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Amy Acton if Amy Acton wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Amy Acton loses. If Amy Acton wins, the margin will be positive; if Amy Acton loses, the margin will be negative; if Amy Acton ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Amy Acton runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.