The odds
as of Nov 9, 04:20 UTC- Fear 45% −1
- Extreme Fear 37% +1
- Neutral 14% +1
- Greed 2.5% −5
- Extreme Greed 1% —
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+8 pts
Fear, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 2: 43% · Nov 3: 47% · Nov 4: 46% · Nov 5: 46% · Nov 6: 45% · Nov 7: 45% · Nov 8: 45% · Nov 9: 45%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Fear; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the value at 4:00 PM ET on Nov 13, 2026 is Fear, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: CNN Fear & Greed Index
See it on Kalshi ↗