Moving
CR Flamengo RJ vs Fluminense FC RJ: Correct Score CR Flamengo RJ wins 1-0 83% ▲+71Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. Vila Nova FC Vila Nova FC 97% ▲+61Ferroviario vs Goias Goias 86% ▲+61Gremio vs Internacional Tie 81% ▲+54Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional Draw (Grêmio FBPA vs. SC Internacional) 74% ▲+46Suarez vs Huertas Del Pino Cordova Arklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova 95% ▲+45D. Concepcion vs Union La Calera D. Concepcion 91% ▲+41Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026? Adam Schiff 42% ▲+4049ers vs. Seahawks 49ers 77% ▲+38Jaguares vs Tolima Tolima 18% ▼−37LDU Quito vs. Barcelona SC LDU Quito 26% ▼−34DEN Broncos vs LA Chargers Denver 31% ▼−33LDU Quito vs Barcelona LDU Quito 27% ▼−33Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner? David Bailey 35% ▲+32
KalshiCloses November 3, 2027

Will Democrats sweep all swing state Governor races?

The market puts it at 27% — about 3 in ten — on Kalshi, as of Oct 11, 22:24 UTC. It's down 3 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 27% ▼ 3 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 11, 22:24 UTC
  • Chance of yes 27% −3
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$63K
Yes, 7 days−2.5 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 5Oct 1128%

Oct 5: 31% · Oct 6: 31% · Oct 7: 32% · Oct 8: 32% · Oct 9: 32% · Oct 10: 32% · Oct 11: 28%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
If Democrats win the governorships of ALL of the following states: Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Georgia, Arizona, AND Nevada in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This market requires ALL specified candidates/parties/options to win their respective elections for a Yes resolution. If even one loses, the entire market resolves to No. For parliamentary elections, the party with the most seats wins. For referenda, the specified option must achieve the required threshold. For indirect elections, the ultimate officeholder matters, not intermediate selectors. Postponed elections remain open until rescheduled or two years from original date. Annulled elections remain open until re-run. Death after election but before taking office still counts as a win. In case of ties, the winner through the jurisdiction's tiebreak mechanism prevails. This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Settlement sources: the states of Pennsylvania; Michigan; Wisconsin; Georgia; Arizona; Nevada

See it on Kalshi ↗

Politics & elections

More markets like this

All →