The odds
as of Oct 6, 22:25 UTC- Chance of yes 11% +9
Traded today$755
Traded in all$41K
Yes, 7 days+7.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 29: 4% · Sep 30: 3.5% · Oct 1: 3.5% · Oct 2: 4% · Oct 3: 4% · Oct 4: 3% · Oct 5: 3.5% · Oct 6: 3.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reports that year-over-year Core CPI inflation is below 2.2% in any remaining 2026 monthly CPI release after Issuance, then the market resolves to Yes. This market covers only CPI releases scheduled to occur in calendar year 2026 and does not include the CPI release scheduled for January 2027, even though that release may report December 2026 data. The last covered CPI release is the November 2026 CPI release, scheduled for Thursday, December 10, 2026 at 8:30 AM ET.
Settlement sources: Bureau of Labor Statistics
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