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KalshiCloses December 3, 2026

Bud Light Point of Sale Growth in November 2026

A ladder on one number: the likeliest rung is Above 81 at 95% on Kalshi, as of Nov 9, 16:19 UTC. It's up 23 points in the last 24 hours.

Above 81 95% ▲ 23 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 9, 16:19 UTC
  • Above 81 95% +23
  • Above 82.5 94% +11
  • Above 84 79% +15
  • Above 85.5 69% +7
  • Above 87 50% −2
  • Above 87.5 46% −4
  • Above 88.5 30% +1
  • Above 89 25% −16

A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.

Traded today$8K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+45 pts

Above 81, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Nov 5Nov 991%

Nov 5: 50% · Nov 6: 69% · Nov 7: 70% · Nov 8: 86% · Nov 9: 91%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Above 81; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the Carbon Arc Bud Light Point of Sale Growth (November 2026) for November 2026 is above 81 , then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on finalized Carbon Arc values recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on the 2nd calendar day after the end of the month covered by this market. For example, finalized Carbon Arc values for August will be recorded at 11:59 p.m. ET on September 2nd. The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Bud Light Point of Sale Growth was equal to the same month last year. Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior. The index is measured by Carbon Arc's point-of-sale receipt panel using in-store and online purchases captured via receipt-scanning and rewards apps, matched to the same period of the prior year. The panel updates daily as new data arrives. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources: Carbon Arc

See it on Kalshi ↗

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