Moving
KalshiCloses February 1, 2027

Who will hold Marsha Blackburn's Senate seat on February 1, 2027?

Glenn Jacobs leads at 48% (about 5 in ten) on Kalshi, as of Nov 7, 20:15 UTC. It's down 0.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Glenn Jacobs 48% ▼ 0.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Nov 7, 20:15 UTC
  • Glenn Jacobs 48% −0.5
  • Tim Burchett 26% +10
  • Damon Hininger 15% −1
  • Pete Hegseth 12% +3
  • Marsha Blackburn 1% —
  • Stuart McWhorter 1% —
  • Chuck Fleischmann 1% —
  • Diana Harshbarger 1% —
Traded today$5K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+27 pts

Glenn Jacobs, the last 7 days

Kalshi price
25%50%75%Oct 30Nov 747%

Oct 31: 20% · Nov 1: 17% · Nov 2: 16% · Nov 3: 24% · Nov 4: 19% · Nov 5: 19% · Nov 6: 59% · Nov 7: 47%

How it resolves

Kalshi's rule, word for word
(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Glenn Jacobs; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If Glenn Jacobs officially holds the position of United States Senator from Tennessee, Class I on Feb 1, 2027 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources: U.S. Senate

See it on Kalshi ↗

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