The odds
as of Oct 26, 01:37 UTC- 38.6 to 38.8 25% −3
- 38.3 to 38.5 22% +2
- 38.9 to 39.1 18% −3
- 39.2 to 39.4 12% −1
- 38.0 to 38.2 12% —
- 37.7 to 37.9 8.5% +7
- Above 39.4 8.5% −1
- Below 37.7 3.5% +1
Traded today$14K
Traded in all$27K
Favourite, 7 days−0.5 pts
38.6 to 38.8, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 23: 24% · Oct 24: 28% · Oct 25: 25% · Oct 26: 25%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 38.6 to 38.8; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the President's approval rating is between 38.6 and 38.8% at 11:00 AM ET on October 30, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on October 30, 2026.
Settlement sources: RealClearPolitics
See it on Kalshi ↗