The odds
as of Oct 19, 21:22 UTC- 38.7 to 38.9 24% +0.5
- 38.4 to 38.6 22% −2
- 39.0 to 39.2 19% +1
- 38.1 to 38.3 15% +3
- 37.8 to 38.0 11% +2
- 39.3 to 39.5 11% —
- Above 39.5 5.5% −5
- Below 37.8 4.5% +1
Traded today$13K
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days−4 pts
38.7 to 38.9, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 16: 27% · Oct 17: 25% · Oct 18: 23% · Oct 19: 24%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 38.7 to 38.9; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the President's approval rating is between 38.7 and 38.9% at 11:00 AM ET on October 23, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on October 23, 2026.
Settlement sources: RealClearPolitics
See it on Kalshi ↗