The odds
as of Nov 10, 15:15 UTC- 38.7 to 38.9 30% +8
- 38.4 to 38.6 22% +8
- 39.0 to 39.2 21% −4
- 39.3 to 39.5 11% −9
- Below 38.1 6.5% —
- 38.1 to 38.3 4.5% —
- 39.6 to 39.8 4.5% −2
- Above 39.8 2.5% —
Traded today$10K
Traded in all$26K
Favourite, 7 days+9 pts
38.7 to 38.9, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceNov 6: 21% · Nov 7: 22% · Nov 8: 22% · Nov 9: 26% · Nov 10: 30%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, 38.7 to 38.9; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If the President's approval rating is between 38.7 and 38.9% at 11:00 AM ET on November 13, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on November 13, 2026.
Settlement sources: RealClearPolitics
See it on Kalshi ↗