The odds
as of Oct 5, 23:22 UTC- Chance of yes 3.5% +1
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$30K
Yes, 7 days−1.5 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 5% · Sep 29: 5.5% · Sep 30: 4.5% · Oct 1: 3.5% · Oct 2: 4% · Oct 3: 4% · Oct 4: 2.5% · Oct 5: 3.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf the option in Alberta’s 2026 referendum asking whether the Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether Alberta should separate from Canada passes, then the market resolves to Yes. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.
Settlement sources: Elections Alberta
See it on Kalshi ↗