The odds
as of Oct 15, 23:19 UTC- Democrats sweep 66% +1
- Republicans sweep 18% −2
- Democratic Governor, Republican Senator 14% +1
- Republican Governor, Democratic Senator 5.5% —
Traded today$6K
Traded in all$82K
Favourite, 7 days−2 pts
Democrats sweep, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceOct 8: 68% · Oct 9: 68% · Oct 10: 67% · Oct 11: 67% · Oct 12: 67% · Oct 13: 66% · Oct 14: 66% · Oct 15: 66%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Democrats sweep; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If ALL of the following occur: Alaska Governor winner: Democratic party, Alaska Senate winner: Democratic party, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: Alaska Governor winner (GOVPARTY), Alaska Senate winner (SENATEPARTY).
Settlement sources: Alaska Division of Elections
See it on Kalshi ↗