The odds
as of Oct 5, 23:22 UTC- Below $1.80 1% —
- Below $1.90 3% —
- Below $2.00 3% —
- Below $2.10 3% —
- Below $2.20 3% —
- Below $2.30 2% +2
A ladder: each line is its own yes/no question on the same number, in order, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$153K
Favourite, 7 daysunch
Below $2.20, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 1% · Sep 29: 3% · Oct 2: 3%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for word(Each outcome is its own contract. This is the rule for the favourite, Below $2.20; the others read the same way with their own outcome.) If average regular gas prices for Texas are strictly lower than $2.20 by Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, the market resolves to Yes.
Settlement sources: AAA
See it on Kalshi ↗