The odds
as of Oct 6, 09:29 UTC- Chance of yes 4.5% −2
Traded today$883
Traded in all$88K
Yes, 7 days−16 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Kalshi priceSep 28: 20% · Sep 29: 20% · Sep 30: 19% · Oct 1: 9% · Oct 2: 10% · Oct 3: 9% · Oct 4: 9% · Oct 6: 4.5%
How it resolves
Kalshi's rule, word for wordIf Justin Bieber has a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 (including features), by the Billboard issue for the week of Dec 27, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. **This market and these products have not been endorsed by Billboard. Any references to "Billboard", the "Hot 100," or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Billboard and Kalshi.** For the purposes of this market, the last Billboard chart that will be included is the one published for Dec 27, 2026.
Settlement sources: Billboard
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