The odds
as of Oct 9, 15:25 UTC- December 31 14% +5.5
- October 31 3.5% +1.4
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$2K
Traded in all$36K
Favourite, 7 days+1 pts
December 31, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 2: 11% · Oct 3: 9.5% · Oct 4: 9% · Oct 5: 9% · Oct 6: 9.5% · Oct 7: 9% · Oct 8: 9.5% · Oct 9: 14%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗