The odds
as of Oct 9, 15:25 UTC- Max Verstappen 91% +65
- Liam Lawson 25% +24
- Yuki Tsunoda 23% +2
- George Russell 8.8% −2.6
- Pierre Gasly 1.1% —
- Alexander Albon 1.1% —
- Gabriel Bortoleto 1.1% —
- Sergio Perez 1.1% —
Traded today$29K
Traded in all$29K
Favourite, 7 days+42 pts
Max Verstappen, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 3: 49% · Oct 4: 50% · Oct 5: 20% · Oct 6: 19% · Oct 7: 22% · Oct 8: 28% · Oct 9: 99%
The same question on Kalshi
Two venues, two sets of traders, sometimes two slightly different rules — read both before comparing. Kalshi's number is as of Oct 9, 15:25 UTC.
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis is a polymarket on the driver who achieves pole position in the Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix, scheduled for Oct 9, 2026.
If the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix is canceled or rescheduled to a date after Oct 16, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially recognized by Formula 1 as having set the fastest time during the Sprint Qualifying session for the 2026 F1 Singapore Grand Prix. The market will be settled based on the FIA's official qualifying results, regardless of any subsequent penalties, disqualifications, or changes to the starting grid.
For example, if a driver sets the fastest qualifying time but later receives a grid penalty or is moved down the starting order, the market will still resolve to “Yes” for that driver.
The resolution source will be the official Formula 1 website and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Settlement sources: https://www.formula1.com/en/results/2026/races
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