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PolymarketCloses January 1, 2027

Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?

The market puts it at 7.5% — a long shot, about one in 13 — on Polymarket, as of Oct 9, 10:28 UTC. It's down 2 points in the last 24 hours.

Yes 7.5% ▼ 2 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 9, 10:28 UTC
  • Chance of yes 7.5% −2
Traded today$4K
Traded in all$91K
Yes, 7 days−2 pts

Yes, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 1Oct 98%

Oct 2: 9.5% · Oct 3: 9.5% · Oct 4: 9.5% · Oct 5: 9.5% · Oct 6: 9.5% · Oct 7: 9.5% · Oct 8: 9.5% · Oct 9: 7.5%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is officially announced that any part of PayPal will be, has been, or is being acquired by Stripe, or that PayPal is being merged with Stripe, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Acquiring a part of PayPal refers to any material acquisition of a subset of PayPal by Stripe, including but not limited to a PayPal subsidiary, business unit, or equity interest. A total acquisition of PayPal by Stripe will count. Business partnerships between PayPal and Stripe will not count. An announcement of a qualifying acquisition or merger by PayPal or PayPal and Stripe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced acquisition/merger actually occurs. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from PayPal and Stripe, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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