The odds
as of Oct 9, 09:31 UTC- Chance of yes 2.6% −1
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$51K
Yes, 7 days−1.3 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 2: 3.9% · Oct 3: 4% · Oct 4: 3.9% · Oct 5: 3.7% · Oct 6: 3.6% · Oct 7: 3.6% · Oct 8: 3.6% · Oct 9: 2.6%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if Greenland holds an independence referendum and a majority of voters in the referendum vote for independence by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A referendum to join a country other than Denmark will be considered to be a referendum for independence.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of Greenland and/or Denmark; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗