The odds
as of Oct 7, 08:36 UTC- December 31 22% +8.5
- October 31 1.6% −1
Each outcome here is its own yes/no question, so the chances don't add up to 100%.
Traded today$1K
Traded in all$83K
Favourite, 7 days−21 pts
December 31, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceSep 30: 76% · Oct 1: 24% · Oct 2: 22% · Oct 3: 14% · Oct 4: 14% · Oct 5: 14% · Oct 6: 14% · Oct 7: 22%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Drake officially releases a new album between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date.
Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release.
The resolution source will be any official music streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.
See it on Polymarket ↗