The odds
as of Nov 2, 08:23 UTC- Chance of yes 4.9% −0.5
Traded today$705
Traded in all$44K
Yes, 7 days−0.7 pts
Yes, the last 7 days
Polymarket priceOct 26: 5.6% · Oct 27: 5.7% · Oct 28: 5.1% · Oct 29: 5.1% · Oct 30: 5.4% · Oct 31: 5.5% · Nov 1: 5.2% · Nov 2: 4.9%
How it resolves
Polymarket's rule, word for wordThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any AI or LLM by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State. The charge or indictment of a company or organization behind the AI or large language model will not be sufficient. Charges or indictments must be of the AI or LLM itself.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
See it on Polymarket ↗