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PolymarketCloses October 28, 2026

Who will receive the first mandate to form Israel's next government?

Gadi Eizenkot leads at 63% (about 6 in ten) on Polymarket, as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC. It's up 5.5 points in the last 24 hours.

Gadi Eizenkot 63% ▲ 5.5 pts · 24h

The odds

as of Oct 24, 17:19 UTC
  • Gadi Eizenkot 63% +5.5
  • Benjamin Netanyahu 34% −0.5
  • Naftali Bennett 4.8% −4
  • Avigdor Lieberman <1% —
  • Yair Lapid <1% —
  • Gilad Erdan <1% —
  • Yair Golan <1% —
  • Gideon Sa’ar <1% —
Traded today$816
Traded in all$25K
Favourite, 7 days+12 pts

Gadi Eizenkot, the last 7 days

Polymarket price
25%50%75%Oct 19Oct 2463%

Oct 19: 56% · Oct 20: 63% · Oct 21: 59% · Oct 22: 58% · Oct 23: 57% · Oct 24: 63%

How it resolves

Polymarket's rule, word for word
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked by the President of Israel with forming a government following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the first individual who is officially tasked with forming a government after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally tasked with forming a government by the President of Israel. Recommendations made to the President by parties or members of the Knesset, and the President's consultations, will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no individual is tasked with forming a government by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
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